Kim, DY., Thomas, V., Olson, J., Williams, M., and Clements, N. 2013. Statistical Trend and Change Point Analysis of Land Cover Change Patterns in East Africa. International Journal of Remote Sensing. Available online 18 June 2013. DOI 10.1080/01431161.2013.8024224
Williams, M. and Kim, D. (2011) Likelihood Ratio Tests for Continuous Monotone Hazards with Unknown Change Point. Statistics & Probability Letters, 81, 1599-1603.
Williams, M., Kim, D. (2011), A Test for an Abrupt Change in Weibull Hazard Functions with Staggered Entry and Type I Censoring. Communications in Statistics, Theory and Methods. doi:10.1080/03610926.2011.600505
Pijanowski B, Moore. D. Mauree, D. Niyogi. 2011. Evaluating Error Propagation in Coupled Land–Atmosphere Models. Earth Interactions d Volume 15, Paper 28.. DOI: 10.1175/2011EI380.1
Moore, N., Alagarswamy, G., Pijanowski, B., Thornton, P., Lofgren, B., Olson, J., Andresen, J., Yanda, P. and Qi, J. 2011. East African food security as influenced by future climate change and land use change at local to regional scales. Climatic Change June 10, 2011. Vol. 107. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0116.
Williams, M.R., D. Kim. Likelihood ratio tests for continuous monotone hazards with an unknown change point. Statistics and Probability Letters 81 (2011) 1599–1603 doi:10.1016/j.spl.2011.06.013
Msoffe, Fortunata U., Mohammed Y. Said, Joseph O. Ogutu, Shem C. Kifugo, Jan de Leeuw, Paul van Gardingen and Robin S. Reid. 2011. Spatial correlates of land-use changes in the Maasai-Steppe of Tanzania: Implications for conservation and environmental planning. International Journal of Biodiversity and Conservation Vol. 3(7), pp. 280-290, July 2011
Maitima, Joseph. M., J.M Olson, S. M. Mugatha, S. Mugisha and I. T. Mutie. 2010. Land Use Changes, Impacts and Options for Sustaining Productivity and Livelihoods in the Basin Of Lake Victoria. Journal of Sustainable Development in Africa (Volume 12, No.3, 2010).
Ogutu, Joseph O., Hans-Peter Piepho, Robin S. Reid, Michael E. Rainy, Russell L. Kruska, Jeffrey S. Worden, Meshack Nyabenge, N. Thompson Hobbs. 2010. Large herbivore responses to water and settlements in savannas. Ecological Monographs, 80(2), 2010, pp. 241–266
Devisser, Mark H., Joseph P. Messina, Nathan J. Moore, David P. Lusch, Joseph Maitima. 2010. A dynamic species distribution model of Glossina subgenus Morsitans: The identification of tsetse reservoirs and refugia. Ecosphere 1:art6. [doi:10.1890/ES10-00006.1]
Doherty, Ruth M., Stephen Sitch. Benjamin Smith, Simon L. Lewis, Philip K . Thornton. 2010. Implications of future climate and atmospheric CO2 content for regional biogeochemistry, biogeography and ecosystem services across East Africa. Global Change Biology (2010) 16 (2) 617–640, doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01997.
Moore, N., Alagarswamy, G., Pijanowski, B., Thornton, P., Lofgren, B., Olson, J., Andresen, J., Yanda, P. and Qi, J. (2011). East African food security as influenced by future climate change and land use change at local to regional scales. Climatic Change June 10, 2011. Vol. 107. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0116.
Olson, J., D. Rubin & E. Wangui. (2010). Gender, Agriculture, and Climate Change: A Regional Analysis for USAID/East Africa. USAID: Washington, D.C.
Duggins, J.; Williams, M.; Kim, D. & Smith, E. (2010, July). Changepoint detection in SPI transition probabilities. Journal of Hydrology, vol. 388, pp 456-463. doi: 10.10.16/j.hydro.2010.05.030
Hession, S. & Moore, N. (2010). A spatial regression analysis of the influence of topography on monthly rainfall in East Africa. International Journal of Climatology. doi: 10.1002/joc.2174
Msoffe, F. U.; Kifugo, S. C.; Said, M.Y.; Neselle, M. O.; Gardingen, P. V.; Reid, R.S.; Ogutu, J.O.; Herero, M. & Leeuw, J. D. (2010). Drivers and impacts of land-use change in the Maasai Steppe of northern Tanzania: an ecological-social-political analysis. Journal of Land Use Science, Vol. 00, No. 00, Xxxx 2010, 1–21.
Ogutu, J.; Piepho, HP; Dublin, H.; Bhola, N. & Reid, R. (2010, June 30). Dynamics of births and juvenile recruitment in Mara–Serengeti ungulates in relation to climatic and land use changes. Population Ecology. doi: 10.1007/s10144-010-0223-8
Thornton, P.; Jones, P.; Alagarswamy, G.; Andresen. J. & Herrero, M. (2010). Adapting to climate change: agricultural system and household impacts in East Africa. Agricultural Systems, 103 (73–82), 10.1016/j.agsy.2009.09.003
Washington-Ottombre, C.; Pijanowski, B.; Campbell, D.; Olson, J.; Maitima, J.; Musili, A.; Kibaki, T.; Kaburu, H.; Hayombe, P.; Owango, E.; Irigia, B.; Gichere, S. & Mwangi, A. (2010, March). Using a role-playing game to inform the development of land-use models for the study of a complex socio-ecological system. Agricultural Systems, 103(3), 117–126. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2009.10.002
Jones, P. G. & Thornton, P. K. (2009). Croppers to livestock keepers: Livelihood transitions to 2050 in Africa due to climate change. Environmental Science & Policy, 12(427-437).
Moore, N.; Alagarswamy, G.; Pijanowski, B.; Thornton, P.; Olson, J.; Lofgren, B.; Andresen, J. & Campbell, D. (2009). Food production risks associated with land use change and climate change in East Africa. Earth and Environmental Science, Vol. 6. IOP Publishing Ltd. doi: 10.1088/1755-1307/6/4/342003
Moore, N.; Torbick, N.; Lofgren, B.; Wang, J.; Pijanowski, B.; Andresen, J.; Kim, D. & Olson, J. (2009, August 24). Adapting MODIS-derived LAI and fractional cover into the RAMS model for East Africa. International Journal of Climatology. Vol. 30, Issue 13, 1954-1969. Published Online, doi: 10.1002/joc.2011
Ogutu, J. O.; Piepho, H. P.; Dublin, H. T.; Bhola, N. & Reid, R. S. (2009). Dynamics of Mara-Serengeti ungulates in relation to land use changes. Journal of Zoology, pp. 1-14. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-7998.2008.00536.x
Ogutu, J. O.; Piepho, H. P.; Dublin, H. T.; Bhola, N. & Reid, R. S. (2009). Rainfall extremes explain interannual shifts in timing and synchrony of calving in topi and warthog. Population Ecology. doi: 10.1007/s10144-009-0163-3
Thornton, P.A.; Jones, P.; Alagarswamy, G. & Andresen, J. (2009). Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa. Global Environmental Change, 19(54-65), 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.08.005
Smucker, Thomas and B. Wisner. 2008. Changing Household Responses to Drought in Tharaka, Kenya: Vulnerability, Persistence, and Challenge. Disasters 32(2): 190–215.
Wangui, E. Edna. 2008. Development interventions, changing livelihoods, and the making of female Maasai pastoralists. Agriculture and Human Values 25(3):365–378.
Theses and Dissertations
Qin, Chuan. 2011. Assessing Phenological Changes and Drivers in East Africa from 1982-2006. Masters of Science Thesis. Michigan State University Department of Geography.
Lovell, Eric J. 2011. Let My Cattle Go Thirsty? : Exploring Resource Access and Visualizing the Space-Time Dimensions of Pastoral Mobility in the Kilimanjaro Region of Tanzania. MA thesis, Ohio University, Geography.
Hession, Sarah. 2011. Improvements in Fine-Scale Estimation and Evaluation of Geographic Variables using Climate Data in East Africa. PhD Dissertation. Michigan State University Department of Geography.
Williams, Matthew. 2011. Likelihood-Based Testing and Model Selection for Hazard Functions with Unknown Change-Points. PhD Dissertation. Virginia Tech University. Department of Statistics.
Proceedings of Meetings and Symposia
Kim, D-Y.; Goble, N.; Olson, J. & Williams, M. (2009, August). Statistical Trend and Change Point Analysis of Vegetation Cover and Phenology. Joint Statistical Meeting, Washington, D.C.
Moore, N.; Alagarswamy, G.; Pijanowski, B.; Thornton, P.; Olson, J.; Lofgren, B.; Andresen, J. & Campbell, D. (2009). Food production risks associated with land use change and climate change in East Africa. In Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges and Decisions. Institute of Physics Publishing. IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environmental Science 6, 342003. doi:10.1088/1755-1307/6/4/342003
Smucker, T. (2009, March 22-27). Local Institutions, Local Knowledge, and Geographies of Pastoralist Adaptation to Climate Change in Southern Kenya. Annual Meeting of the Association of American Geographers, Las Vegas, NV.
Kim, D. & Han, C. (2008, November 20-23). Waiting for Drought: A Renewal Process Approach to Modeling Interarrival Times between Drought Onsets. Sigma Xi Annual Meeting and Student Conference, Washington, D.C.
Kim, D. & Williams, M. (2008, November 20-23). Statistical Analysis of Climate Changes in East Africa. Sigma Xi Annual Meeting and Student Conference, Washington, D.C.
Conference Paper and Poster Sessions
Olson, Jennifer. (2013, April 11). "Farmers Adapt to Climate Change While Policy Makers and Scientists Attempt to Communicate." Paper presented by J. Olson at the Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Los Angeles.
Moore, Nathan, Jeffrey Andresen, Gopal Alagarswamy, Jennifer Olson.( 2013, April 11). Variations in downscaled projections for East African climate to 2050. Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting. Los Angeles.
Alagarswamy, G., Jeffrey Andresen, Jennifer Olson, Philip Thornton, Nathan Moore. (2013, April 11). Climate Change Impacts on Maize Production in East Africa. Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting. Los Angeles.
Moore, Nathan, Jeffrey Andresen, Bryan C Pijanowski, Brent M Lofgren.(2011) Projected Land Cover Change Effects on East African Rainfall Under Climate Change. American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting. ABSTRACT FINAL ID: GC23C-0973
Wangui, E. Edna. (2011, March 25). "In the time of erikaru we never used to walk together: Gender dimension of climate change adaptation in East Africa's drylands", Yi-Fu Tuan Lecture, University of Wisconsin, Madison.
Olson, J.M. (2011, March) "Impacts of Climate Change in Tanzania," MSU Alumni Association Evening College, Alumni Lifelong Education, East Lansing.
Olson, J., J. Andresen, N. Moore, J. Qi, G. Alagarswamy and D.J. Campbell (2011, January). "Current Changes in the Climate and its Impact on Ecosystems and People in East Africa", and "Projecting Future Climate and its Impact on Ecosystems and People in East Africa" at the MSU African Studies Center Speaker Series, East Lansing.
Hession, S. L., G. Alagarswamy, J. Andresen, D. Campbell, R. Glew, N. Goble, C. Han, M. Herrero, S. Karanja, D. Kim, J. Maitima, S. Misana, N. Moore, S. Mugatha, C. Mong’ong’o, S. Mwansasu, A. Naizghi,J. Ogutu, J. Olson, J. Qi, C. Qin, M. Said, T. Smucker, P. Thornton, E. Wangui, M. Williams, and P. Yanda. (2010, November 8). An Overview of Climate Change Research at MSU and Prediction in Data-Scarce Environments: Introducing New and Improved Spatially Explicit Methods. Society of Toxicology and Chemistry 31st Annual North American Meeting. Portland, OR. .
William, M. (2010, October 17-19). Connecting Changes in Vegetation to Geography, Climate, and Land Use in East Africa. Global Land Project (GLP) Open Science Meeting, Tempe, Arizona.
Kim, D-Y., C. Han & E. Brooks. (2010, May 20-22). Modeling drought frequency and duration with renewal processes. Presented at the Virginia Academy of Science, James Madison University, Harrisonburg, Virginia.
Alagarswamy, G.; Qin, C.; Qi, J.; Andresen, J.; Olson, J. M. & Moore, N. (2010, April). Savanna Vegetation Changes as Influenced by Climate and Human Interventions in East Africa. Eaclipse Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Andresen, J. (2010, April). Dynamic Interactions among People, Livestock, and Savanna Ecosystems under Climate Change: The East Africa Climate-Land Interaction Project in Savanna Ecosystems (EACLIPSE. Eaclipse Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Han, C. & Kim, D-Y. (2010, April). A Change Point Analysis of Drought Frequency in East Africa. Topics in Water Resources III Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Hession, S. (2010, April 17). Prediction in Data-Scarce Environments: Introducing New and Improved Spatially Explicit Methods. Spatial Analysis and Modeling for Bio and Ecological Studies Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Moore, N.; Kim, D-Y.; Andresen, J. & Hession, S. (2010, April 16). Historical and projected changes in East African meteorological drought. Eaclipse Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Olson, J. M. (2010, April). People and Livestock in the Changing Landscape and Climate of the East African Savannas. Eaclipse Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Qi, J.; Qin, C.; Alagarswamy, G.; et al. (2010). Assessing Savanna Ecosystem Changes with Remote Sensing in East Africa. Eaclipse Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Wangui, E. (2010, April). Performance politics and the spaces of negotiation: Pastoralist livelihood change and new gender roles. Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Williams, M.; Goble, N. & Kim, D-Y. (2010, April). A new strategy for modeling time series data with structural change. Modeling Climate Impacts Paper Session, Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting, Washington D.C.
Naess, B. & Sieggreen, D. (2010, March 6). Climate Change in East Africa, an MSU Project. Michigan Science Teachers Association 57th Annual Conference, Lansing Radisson Hotel and Lansing Center, Lansing, MI.
Naess, B. & Sieggreen, D. (2010, February 11). Incorporating a Global Perspective into K-12 Science and Social Studies Teaching: The Tanzanian Partnership Curriculum Development Project. Global Initiative Forum for Future Teachers (GIFT), Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI.
Maitima, J. (2009, March).Dynamic Interactions among People, Livestock, and Savanna Ecosystems under Climate Change.Poster presented at the International Livestock Research Institute 2009 Annual Program Meeting, Nairobi, Kenya. Available at: http://www.eaclipse.msu.edu/publications/APM-Brief_EACLIPSE09.pdf
Moore, N.; Andresen, J.; Alagarswamy, G.; Pijanowski, B.; Thornton, P.; Olson, J.; Yanda, P. & Qi, J. (2009, March 10-12). Food production risks associated with land use change and climate change in East Africa: A regional approach. Paper presented at the “Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges & Decisions Conference,” Copenhagen, Denmark.
Olson, J. M. (2009, February 18). The Climate Change/ Land Degradation Link. Paper presented at the University of Michigan, Ford School’s International Economic Development Program, Ann Arbor, MI.
Olson, J. M. (2009, April 20). Causes and Impacts of Climate Change in East Africa: Links to Crops, Livestock, Natural Ecosystems, and Health. Paper presented at the Rockefeller Foundation, New York.
Smucker, T. (2008). Local Knowledge and Agropastoral Livelihood Change: Implications for Vulnerability and Resilience in Kenya's Semi-Arid Areas. Association of American Geographers Annual Meeting.
Eaclipse in the News
MSU International. (2010, August 10). Climate Change-Africa.mov. Michigan State University University, International Studies and Programs, East Lansing:MI. Available at: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsZvDtY6GCg
Haramata. (2010, March). Finding the food crops of the future. Bulletin of the drylands, No. 55, pp.5-6. Available at: http://news.msu.edu/story/7277/
Science News. (2009, November 3). Climate Change Could Create Agricultural Winners And Losers In East Africa, New Study Warns. Science Daily. Available at: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/11/091102204438.htm
Sieggreen, D. (2009, November). Adventures in East Africa. Michigan Science Teachers Association. Available at: http://www.msta-mich.org/index.php/publications/newsletterArticle/364
Thornton, P.; Jones, P.; Farrow, A.; Alagarswamy, G. & Andresen, J. (2008, February). Crop Yield Response to Climate Change in East Africa: Comparing Highlands and Lowlands. International Human Dimensions Programme on Global Environmental Change. Available at: http://www.ihdp.unu.edu/article/595?menu=1
Project Web site
Reporting on Climate Change in East Africa: A Knight Center Journalism Workshop. Available at:
Thornton, P. K.; Steeg, V. D. J.; Notenbaert, A. & Herrero, M. (2008, May 15). The livestock–climate–poverty nexus. A discussion paper on ILRI research in relation to climate change. Discussion Paper No. 11. Available at: http://www.ukcds.org.uk/_assets/_documents/Livestock_Climat_Pover_Nexus_DP11.pdf
Ziervogel, G.; Cartwright, A.; Tas, A.; Adejuwon, J.; Zermoglio, F.; Shale, M. & Smith, B. (2008, March). Climate change and adaptation in African agriculture. SEI Rockefeller Africa Climate Report. Stockholm Environment Institute. Available at: http://www.egs.uct.ac.za/~gina/SEI Rockefeller Africa Climate Report 4April08.pdf
New Associated Projects
“Addressing the Impact of Climate Change on Agricultural Systems in East Africa” is a new project funded by a Rockefeller Foundation grant. CLIP and Eaclipse researchers at Michigan State University and in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda will study the impact of climate change on agricultural systems in East Africa.
“Proposal to support a project titled ‘Dynamic interactions among people, livestock, and savanna ecosystems under climate change’” is a project funded by the USAID International Science Collaboration Pilot Program to support Tanzanian scientists’ analysis and writing up of Eaclipse publications and proposals, and training on modeling. 2010-2011.
Rockefeller Foundation Project news reports are available at: